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International workshop series on the Future of Manufacturing

Some of the cards we used at the workshop as a tool to explore relevant drivers of change relating to the future of the manufacturing sector

We have just delivered a report on the Future of Manufacturing to the year 2050, based on the outcomes from three international workshops that we designed and facilitated for the UK Government Office for Science. The workshops explored the drivers shaping the future of global manufacturing and their implications in terms of regional risks, challenges and opportunities. The events took place in Berlin, Washington DC and Singapore. They were attended by delegates from across numerous manufacturing sub-sectors, government and academia. Private sector corporations that participated included Dow Chemicals, Siemens, Lockheed Martin, EADS, Daimler, Rolls Royce and Daimler. Our report will feed into GO Science’s broader research paper, to be published in the Autumn 2013. Their findings will support a growth strategy for the manufacturing sector in the UK.

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MIT: The Science of Digital Fabrication

“The Science of Digital Fabrication” at MIT’s Center for Bits and Atoms

Alvise Simondetti visited his alma mater, MIT, last week to attend a conference on “The Science of Digital Fabrication” at the Center for Bits and Atoms, organized in partnership with the Executive Office of the President of the United States. The event was an opportunity to bring together leaders from research and governmental sectors to discuss the future of digital fabrication from the perspective of a variety of scales, methods, and applications.

Digital fabrication technology originally arose out of MIT in the late 1940s with their development of the first computer numerical control (CNC) milling machine. This invention initiated a growing variety of subtractive manufacturing processes, or machines that would take a large piece of raw material, and methodically remove areas with tools such as lasers, waterjets, and wires, to achieve the final design. Additive manufacturing, or the deposition of material to form the finished product through processes such as 3D printing, has been gaining attention recently also due to the potential to produce less waste than reductive processes.

The workshop took place on March 7th, and was divided into three briefing areas: Materials and Mechanisms, Processes and Workflows, and Policy and Programs. Attendees then broke into working groups to further discuss and develop specific areas of interest. The event concluded with the 7th annual Goldstein Lecture, given this year by Swiss architect Matthias Kohler.

Materials and Mechanisms

Neil Gerschenfeld, head of MIT’s Center for Bits and Atoms, opened the Materials and Mechanisms briefing session. Neil’s research focuses on the relationship between digital and analog processes, and the emerging feasibility of “personal fabrication,” providing non-technical users with the skills and technology to produce objects to suit their specific needs. He began with a provocative insight, that 3D printing will be the “microwave of the future kitchen,” in other words, that it will be integral to the future of the field, yet just one small piece of the transition from analog to digital fabrication. Current digital fabrication technologies include subtractive methods such as CNC routing, laser, and waterjet, as well as additive techniques such as extrusion deposition, granular materials binding (sintering, electron beam melting, and plaster-based and plastic-based 3D printing), lamination, and light polymerization. Jo Newton, founder of TechShop, provided the additional insight that digital fabrication will follow a similar trajectory as desktop publishing: beginning as a service offering of specialized shops, and ultimately transitioning into a ubiquitous element of everyday experience.

Materials and Mechanisms session

The session focused on digital fabrication at the nano (DNA), micro, meso, macro, and mega (houses) scales. It was insightful to have a collection of cross-disciplinary and cross-scale industry leaders gathered together to share their experiences, as many “lessons learned,” including tools, processes, and metaphors, could be applied across the different scales.

A segment of the conversation focused around digital fabrication being the “next industrial revolution,” which will increasingly involve the production of dynamic, interactive objects, or programmable material with properties that adapt to accommodate specific needs. The possibilities of digital manufacturing allows for a departure from the production of systems of thousands of static components (ex., an airplane wing), and a movement toward the design of the materials themselves with specific intrinsic properties. For example, digitally pre-organizing a material to contain varying degrees of porosity in different areas can modify the material’s buckling properties. This will enable the holistic design of objects more similar to the wing of a bird, combining information and responsiveness with the materiality of an object. This revolution in total, rather than elemental, fabrication will enable electronic transistors or RFID tags, for example, to be manufactured directly into materials, resulting in the production of truly smart objects.

A critical insight from this session is the need to balance complexity with efficient design processes. For example, the design of jet fighters is increasing exponentially in complexity. Whereas the last generation of jet fighters took two years to design, and the current generation takes about seven years, it is projected that the next generation will take 20 years to fully design, due to the need to evaluate adaptable/programmable materials within a range of possible scenarios. In this example, digital fabrication is creating, rather than solving a design challenge, as technology will have leapfrogged these jets by a wide margin, rendering them obsolete in advance of their completion. The solution can be found in the mapping of the human genome: open innovation is necessary to reconcile complexity with efficient design.

MIT digital fabrication workshop

Another insight from the Materials and Mechanisms session was that, for the first time in history, design is moving into spaces where we lack the ability to intuitively solve the problem at hand. While increased automation is allowing a drastic increase in the complexity and sensitivity of our designs, we are becoming increasingly reliant on technological solutions to solve the problems that the same technology is creating.

Other speakers in this session included Saul Griffith, inventor, who presented on the history of the technology, Joe Jacobson, head of the MIT Media Lab’s Molecular Machines research group, who spoke on fabricational complexity, Ned Seeman, inventor of the field of DNA nanotechnology, who described his research on self-assembly of nanoelectronics, and Skylar Tibitts, director of MIT’s Self-Assembly Lab, who gave examples of his self-assembling objects using magnets and applied kinetic energy. His self-assembly research is of particular relevance to Arup because of its application at the mega-scale of the built environment.

To conclude the session, Larry Sass, professor in the Department of Architecture at MIT, made the critical point that in order to enable a more fluid design and fabrication process, the same set of “instructions” must work both at the scaled level for prototyping and ultimately at the full scale for final construction. When design specifications are scalable from model to completion, the act of prototyping becomes an integral tool in the design process itself.

Processes and Workflows

This session provided techniques for increasing the fluidity and efficiency of design processes and workflows. This fluidity can be achieved by using automated extraction of design parameters from object functionality, as well as novel scanning techniques, which directly capture the information required in the manufacturing process, increasingly sophisticated functional representations that that enable direct fabrication, and a departure from methods of data communication that inhibit speed and complexity.

The Processes and Workflows briefing session provided some interesting insights on the state-of-the-art of 3D scanning, printing, and folding, as well as the optimization of various fabrication and motion control techniques. Wojciech Matusik, professor at the Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory at MIT, spoke about his research on simulation and optimization. He gave the example of computing kinematic movement for animated movie characters, and detailed the process for fabricating physical characters using an automated design process to characters with a similar range of articulated movements.

Philip Withers, professor of materials science at the University of Manchester, explained his research on applying computational tomography (CT) scanning outside of the medical realm. Traditionally, 3D scanning has been limited to surface scanning, but CT scanning provides the added benefit of volumetric assessment, or “seeing through” an object. He has applied this methodology to fossils embedded in rocks, enabling an accurate 3D reconstruction of the skeleton of dinosaurs.

Philip Withers speaking on volume scanning

Matthew Keeter, grad student at the Center for Bits and Atoms, opened a discussion on design representations and interfaces by examining the weaknesses of CAD/CAM workflows. He explained that many of our current design tools rely on boundary representation (B-REP), which identifies objects based on the limit between surfaces, but has difficulty producing smooth fabrication output. Functional representation (F-REP), or the description of an object based on a single function, has the ability to produce more accurate 3D objects, yet it was abandoned in the 1970s due to the inability of then-current computing technology to manage the complex screen representation and renderings. Computers are now able to handle F-REP, enabling direct fabrication of designs. Software such as Rhino are keeping up to speed with this trend in representation with the development of F-REP plug-ins.

Additional presentations included Sanjay Sarma, who spoke about a sophisticated method of path planning which computes an optimized “line of sight” for an undercut to create efficiencies in fabrication. This is another example of research that was abandoned in the 1990s due to limitations of technology, and is now providing opportunities for the future. Nadya Peek spoke on motion control and the development of a global network of FabLabs. Informed by her global experience with FabLabs, she challenged the usage of methods of communication with machines which are constrained by antiquated simplistic g-code, and stressed the necessity for the industry to embark into more sophisticated communication of  data. Jennifer Lewis spoke on high-precision multi-nozzle array printing, which can print using multiple materials simultaneously. She noted that this allows users to print “function as well as form,” which can be illustrated through applications such as the fabrication of materials with embedded computing technology. The current array capacity is 8×8 nozzles, or 64-bit, with 128-bit under development and 256-bit projected for the near future. Multi-nozzle array printing will likely undergo an exponential increase in speed and material complexity in the coming years.

Policy and Programs

The third session featured representatives from different governmental agencies, with the intent of sparking synergies and maximizing the potential for federal involvement in emerging research and technology. John Slotwinski, delegate from the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), provided a compelling argument that the standards with which we choose to measure new technology play a role in the development trajectory. For example, if we measure digital fabrication technology by speed, we may limit the growth of other aspects, such as precision or complexity. He also spoke on material choices, noting that NIST has decided to prioritize metal as opposed to polymers as a promising material for digital fabrication.

Paul Eremenko, from the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), challenged the design/build/test/redesign workflow that designers and engineers currently use. He explained that design complexity is projected to increase sevenfold in the coming years, and that we will no longer be able to afford this extended design process. A higher level of abstraction is required for future design processes. Similarly, the example of BBC’s innovative usage of semantic technologies (use of metadata and automated tags) to arrange news stories automatically across multiple websites, which drastically reduced the number of reporters necessary to fully cover the Olympic games. As complexity rapidly increases, such design process optimization will be crucial for the integrated workflow of multidisciplinary project teams at Arup.

Paul Eremenko speaking on design complexity

A critical insight from LaNetra Tate (NASA) is that seven out of nine of their research centers are currently engaged in research relating to 3D printing. Digital fabrication techniques hold dramatic opportunities for construction processes in space: because certain 3D printers are capable of using dirt, sand, and other materials from the surrounding environment, only the printer itself and the bonding agent would need to be transported to enable large-scale construction trials on the moon, as early as 2014.

Other speakers included Kelly Visconti, (DOE), who posed the question of how much energy is embedded in manufacturing processes. She noted that wind turbines, made of thousands of components, have difficulties recuperating their embedded energy, but that digital fabrication brings with it the opportunity to positively impact the waste and energy intensity of manufacturing. A representative from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) discussed geoprinting of infrastructure, including the benefits in emergency situations, such as hurricanes and other natural disasters. DHS was also aware of the potential threats of digital fabrication, such as the possibility of printing components for illegal weapons, or the modification of DNA for harmful purposes.

The final three speakers were introduced as the “sausage makers,” or those who were getting their hands dirty on the front lines, making change happen. Dale Dougherty (Make) posed the critical question of what the tipping point will be to enable widespread adoption of the technology. Ensuing discussion proposed that the tipping point will be the establishment of 3D printing as a service, coupled with an intuitive interface that is able to auto-check designs for critical requirements such as stability, rigidity, or watertightness. Vincente Guallart (chief architect of Barcelona) spoke of the importance of bringing manufacturing back to the local level, and the possibilities associated with open innovation. Together with the mayor or Barcelona, he championed the first FabLab to be implemented outside of MIT several years ago, and proposed that a distribution of digital fabrication centers around the city, each with a specific city-related task, will hold great opportunities for empowering people to devise their own solutions to municipal needs. Congressman Bill Foster concluded the proceedings of the day by thanking participants for gathering to discuss the future impacts of digital fabrication. In 2010, Bill proposed the National Fabrication Network Act, a revolutionary idea to empower all Americans with the opportunities created by access to digital fabrication tools.

Vincente Guallart speaking on digital fabrication in Barcelona

Goldstein Architecture, Engineering, and Science Lecture

The concluding lecture, “The Design of Robotic Fabricated Architecture,” was given by Matthias Kohler. He spoke about the expanded usage of robots in architecture beyond traditional applications such as increasing safety, efficiency, and economy. The global accuracy that automation brings to the construction process is well beyond feasible human replication, and could even absorb much of the human error along the way. One example that he outlined was the laying of bricks offset at a one-degree angle to produce a complex, textured surface.

 

How might digital fabrication impact your life?

Let us know: twitter.com/arupforesight

 

For the full program of events and speakers, please visit: http://cba.mit.edu/events/13.03.scifab/index.html

 

Written and researched by Katherine Prater
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Chicago Office Visit

Chicago skyline, credit: Edward Blake

Chris Luebkeman and Francesca Birks’ visit to the Chicago office in February was an event in a larger initiative to promote interaction with regional Arup offices across the globe. Francesca, based out of New York, acts as the Foresight + Innovation regional lead for all offices within Arup’s Americas Region. The team has designated links to each of the five Arup regions, including Stuart Candy, lead for Australasia, Shu-Wei Wu, link for East Asia, Josef Hargrave, link for Europe, and Marcus Morrell, link for the UK, Middle East, and Africa.

The visit was organized to increase the visibility of the F+I team within the Americas, as well as to support the Chicago office with client outreach. Over the course of the visit, Chris and Francesca worked closely with Arup Chicago to organize a series of presentations and meetings with Arup colleagues, collaborators, and current and potential clients.

Chris gave a presentation during the visit on “Designing for the new normal in the next decade” at the Chicago chapter of the American Institute of Architects. The event (below) was well-received, and sparked interesting conversation about the future context, needs, and expectations of the built environment.

Chris presenting at Chicago AIA, credit: Ronnie Gensler

Another component of the visit was a meeting with Canon Design, following up on work done with Canon on the Campus of the Future in previous years. Conversation included a consideration of the changing shape of campuses, including the integration of physical space and service offerings with the local community, and the tension between digital and physical knowledge sharing, learning, and collaboration.

Additional activities during the visit included conversations with the Chicago Architecture Foundation on Drivers of Change, and the development of future youth-oriented design tools, as well as the Delta Institute on energy performance of buildings, Rebuilding Exchange on community design, Urban Lab on future collaborations, and the Chicago government on sustainable urban planning.

The visit confirmed that the Arup Chicago office is a site for hard work and inspiring design ideas, and the Foresight + Innovation team looks forward to continued engagement and collaboration with the Chicago team. If members of an office in any of the five Arup regions are interested in organizing a similar event, please contact your designated F+I regional link (above).

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Arup explores Arduino

The Arduino platform, initially designed to make a device for empowering student-built interaction design projects with less expense, has grown to become a worldwide DIY movement for electronics. A networked community of DIY enthusiasts across the globe has emerged, willing to lend their advice and assistance. Forums, interest groups and web platforms like Instructables, Make and Craft, to name a few, are allowing tinkerers to access vast amounts of free tips, tricks and instructions to support their projects. Thanks to its basic set of functionalities, simplified programming language, and built-in hardware programmer, Arduino has brought hardware development to the masses, empowering “a lot of people to approach microcontroller programming in a simple way, people who otherwise would have never thought of doing anything like that”, as co-founder Massimo Banzi states.

Inspired by this electronics revolution, Arup went on a journey exploring the possibilities this open-source electronic prototyping platform offers. The two-day workshop was hosted by David Polson, Associate in Building Engineering at Arup and an Arduino enthusiast. After an introduction to Arduino and some basic exercises, our multidisciplinary group could start experimenting with different components and build a number of prototypes. Below are some of the inventions that resulted from this exercise.

Arup will be further exploring Arduino-based projects and the possible applications for this technology in a series of additional workshops in the next year.

Paul Lynch working on his keyboard interface

Ultrasonic distance measurement by Georgina Donnelly

Ultrasonic distance measurement by Georgina Donnelly

Stella Dourtme, Zaha Hadid Architects, testing an LCD display

Keypad interpreter by Thomas Mitchell

Ultrasonic rangefinder with distance displayed on an LCD screen, by Simon Bone

Room temperature sensor by Michael Trousdell

 

Adam Venner controlling a motor with varying speed

Blinking LED attached to a fabric, using LilyPad, by Diana Kovacheva

Nikesh Patel using a potentiometer and a variable speed drive to control a fan

Stella Dourtme, Zaha Hadid Architects, working on a multicoloured 8×8 LED matrix

Ultrasonic rangefinder with distance displayed on the laptop, by Simon Bone

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Futures for Innovation Workshop

Forum for the Future workshop 1

Last Monday, Ed Blake and I, two new members of the FII team in San Francisco, attended a workshop hosted by Forum for the Future, entitled Futures for Innovation.

Forum for the Future, a non-profit based in the UK and newly-expanded into the US, focuses its efforts on integrating strategies for sustainability into the business and governmental sectors of engineering and design. The workshop was designed to be a place to talk about methods for using foresight and futures thinking in order to propel innovation within the realm of sustainability.

Over the course of the first half of the morning, we heard from three different speakers on the topics of design, innovation, and futurism.

Peter Madden, CEO of Forum for the Future, spoke about different foresight strategies and their applications, including long-term trend analysis, horizon scanning, visioning, and scenario development. We learned that ten years from now, 50% of shopping will take place online. Several of the people at my table had no prior exposure to foresight at all: Peter’s usage of examples like this were attention-grabbing, but plausible and accessible, and served as a good introduction to futures thinking.

Jamais Cascio, futurologist, built on Peter’s talk by speaking about futures thinking in the abstract. Jamais noted that humans, unlike many other animals, have the ability to think beyond the present moment and can moderate our actions based on our assessment of the future. Apparently, humans are the only animals that can throw a rock at a moving target; because this involves predicting where in space the target will be at a later point, such a calculation engages the same part of the brain as does thinking about the future. Jamais explained that foresight is far from “fortune telling,” by likening futures thinking to a vaccination by which we prepare ourselves for many different possible future scenarios. Each scenario can be thought of as a variable on one specific “axis”: the future that actually plays out can be located somewhere in the space between these different axes.

Valerie Casey, CEO of Necessary Projects, who has been previously affiliated with IDEO, frog, and Pentagram, put the world of design and innovation in dialogue with the world of foresight. We learned from Valerie to ask better questions, that small interventions often hold large potential, and that sometimes, one idea needs to act as a “Trojan Horse” for another, in order to approach people at their specific comfort zones, and their areas of expertise and interest. Valerie also spoke on the importance of open collaboration, and advised us not to over-formalize our working practices.

Forum for the Future workshop 2

At the end of the first half, participants asked a few good questions. One question was about the nonlinearity of the future, and Jamais commented that the interconnectedness of all of the different variables affecting the future caused the future to appear nonlinear. However, he added, the past seems completely linear in our imaginations, but only because we aren’t forced to think about all of the different ways it could have unfolded.

The second half of the morning was an interactive workshop. We split into four teams of about six people each; two groups were assigned a “tech-heavy” future scenario, valuing conspicuous consumption, and two groups were assigned a “prosperity redefined” scenario, valuing quality of life. We were then told to think about either a car or a cup of coffee, and innovate around how we imagined our product to have transformed in our assigned scenario by the year 2025. One group designed a car-sharing program that would better connect people to their neighbors, and another group designed a coffee cup that could virtually communicate vital signs to one’s doctor.

It was interesting to share ideas, and to experience the different ways that each person approached the future, design, and innovation. Like Valerie mentioned in her remarks, I think we have a lot to learn from each other, and only positive things to gain from valuing colleagues with different perspectives.

Forum for the Future: SPUR Space

Photos by: Ed Blake
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